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The accuracy
of the fetal weight predictions generated
by ultrasound equations depends on a wide
variety of factors, including (but not limited
to) (1) the accuracy of fetal biometric
measurements obtained by ultrasound, (2)
the gestational age of the fetus, and (3)
maternal race. The first of these (the accuracy
of the fetal biometric measurements) is
most often dependent upon five factors:
(a) the resolution of the ultrasound equipment
that is being used, (b) the skill of the
ultrasonographer, (c) the position of the
fetus, (d) the amount of amniotic fluid
surrounding the fetus, and (e) the size
of the mother.
In general, different ultrasound
equipment manufacturers incorporate only
one (or a small subset) of these ultrasound
equations into their equipment software
packages. A full array of the representative
ultrasound prediction equations is included
in this website. This website uses 26 different ultrasound equations; the equations as well as their sources are listed under the "
ULTRASONOGRAPHIC FETAL WEIGHT PREDICTION ALGORITHMS
USED BY THIS WEBSITE FOR ESTIMATING FETAL
WEIGHT" and "REFERENCES FOR FURTHER
READING AND INFORMATION" headings.
In general, the accuracy of
ultrasonographically-based equations for
predicting fetal weight (i.e., birth weight)
can be expected to range between ±8%
to ±18% of the actual fetal weight,
depending on the different factors listed
above, as well as several others. This degree
of intrinsic error is attributable, mainly,
to the many assumptions that must be made
in order to use this technique for the purpose
of fetal weight estimation. The most important
of these is that the sonographic measurements of
multiple linear and planar dimensions of
a fetus provide sufficient parametric information
to allow for accurate algorithmic reconstruction
of the three-dimensional fetal volume of
varying tissue density. In reality, this
is only an approximation because the human
form is both irregular (i.e., non-spheroid)
and comprised of varying tissue densities
(e.g., bone is more dense than muscle, which
is more dense than adipose tissue, etc.).
In effect, the ultrasound technique, when
used for this purpose, is analogous to what
would occur if one tried to predict the
weight of an adult by asking - and knowing
the answer to - only three questions: (1)
What is your hat size?, (2) How large is
your waistline?, and (3) What is the length
of your thigh? Obviously, if these were
the only three pieces of information that
were known about an adult, there would be
a very wide range of guesses ("estimates")
as to the most likely weight for that particular
individual with those measurements. The
same logic applies to the results that ultrasound
can generate for estimating fetal weight
by using only a handful of 1- and 2-dimensional
fetal measurements that are typically obtained
using this technique.
Although obstetrical ultrasonography
has – in many ways – revolutionized
the practice of obstetrics since its inception,
most experts believe that the primary utility
of such equipment revolves around the high
degree of image quality and resolution that
can be safely and conveniently obtained
in order to image living tissues (especially
those involving the maternal and fetal soft-tissues).
Important obstetrical issues such as (1)
visualizing the number of fetuses within
the uterine cavity, (2) fetal position and
presentation, (3) the location of the placenta,
(4) the amount of amniotic fluid within
the fetal cavity, and (5) whether there
are identifiable fetal malformations –
among others – are routinely answered
in modern obstetrics by employing accurate
and reliable ultrasound equipment. However,
this is not the case with regard to the
prediction of fetal weight by using the
high-resolution images that are generated
by the ultrasound technique. In studies
that have investigated the accuracy of ultrasonographic
methods and the associated ultrasound equations
for predicting fetal weight, the results
have varied widely depending upon gestational
age, the range of fetal weights investigated,
and the specific ultrasonographic algorithms
employed. No single one of these ultrasound
equations is the best or most accurate for
predicting fetal weight in all circumstances.
Which equation(s) are best in some particular
circumstances versus others has been a topic
of debate for decades, and is still unresolved.
Thus, the particular "best" ultrasound
equation to use under any given circumstance
is as much a matter of "guessing"
as anything else. In addition, fetal weight
predictions made with ultrasonographic fetal
measurements can be expected to apply only
to the particular day that the ultrasound
study was performed to obtain those measurements.
Projecting these fetal weight estimates
forward to future dates results in an additional
level of imprecision being added to these
already imprecise results, and this is not
generally recommended.
If all four of the requested
fetal measurements are provided (BPD, HC,
AC and FL), fetal weight estimates can be
generated using all 26 of the equations employed by this website.
If not all of the fetal measurements are
available then, depending on the type and
number of the fetal measurements that are
provided, only some of the equations will
have the necessary input information available
to generate results. Once the data concerning
the fetal biometric measurements is entered,
the results for each of the 26 equations
that can be calculated will be displayed,
together with the overall range of these
predicted results. Please click on the START
NOW button below to enter your ultrasonographic
fetal biometric measurements.
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